Start Quick Service Restaurants - Fast Food Market Forecast - Riding the Wave of Global Growth
The global fast food market, valued at USD 527 billion in 2021, is set to undergo substantial growth, projected to reach USD 750.08 billion by 2030, boasting a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4% during the forecast period (2023-2030). This thriving market is driven by various factors, including urbanization, globalization, changing consumer habits, and a workforce seeking convenient, quick, and affordable solutions.
The surge in the working population's reliance on fast food, coupled with the market's adaptability to changing consumer preferences, particularly towards healthier and sustainable menu options, including vegetarian and vegan choices, along with the expansion of delivery services, constitutes pivotal drivers for the Global Fast Food Market's growth. The workforce's demand for straightforward, affordable, and prompt solutions stands as a paramount factor contributing to market expansion. However, vendors are expected to respond to shifting dietary trends, emphasizing healthier menu selections and incorporating vegetarian and vegan alternatives to cater to evolving customer preferences. Simultaneously, market participants are anticipated to embrace sustainable packaging and innovate in delivery methods to foster their company's growth.
While ordering food deliveries was a prevalent practice in developed regions before the pandemic, its momentum significantly increased in developing countries post-COVID-19. Nations such as India, the Philippines, Indonesia, South Africa, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Singapore, Turkey, Argentina, Brazil, and Chile witnessed a notable uptick in this trend.
Food delivery services emerged as a lifeline for businesses during the pandemic's peak. Since the onset of the global health crisis, online food deliveries have been deemed a critical necessity in the restaurant and food service industries. Consumers are increasingly shifting from traditional ordering methods to digital platforms due to their simplicity, accuracy, speed, and transparency. The fast-food sector is anticipated to benefit from this trend, presenting diverse growth opportunities for new entrants throughout the forecast period.
Moreover, the resilient franchise business model empowers large-scale global operators to extend their reach into new markets, particularly in Asia Pacific and South America. This strategic integration, combining the international demand for online meal ordering with the potential for globalization, is expected to create a broader consumer base, thereby boosting industry revenue.
Factors Driving Global Fast Food Market Growth:
Urbanization and Globalization: The rapid urbanization and globalization trends are contributing to the proliferation of restaurants, hotels, and fast-food centers worldwide. This expansion is a response to the growing demand for quick and easily accessible food options.
Adaptation to Changing Consumer Habits: The market's ability to adapt to new consumer habits, including a shift toward healthier and more sustainable menu options, such as vegetarian and vegan offerings, is a key driver. Fast food establishments are evolving to meet the diverse preferences of a health-conscious consumer base.
Expanding Delivery Options: The expansion of fast-food services through delivery options caters to the evolving needs of consumers, especially the working population seeking quick solutions. This adaptability further fuels the market's growth.
Post-COVID-19 Recovery: While the global impact of COVID-19 led to a -10.46% Year On Year growth in 2020, the market is poised for recovery, with a CAGR rebounding to pre-pandemic levels once the crisis abates. The increased demand for convenience foods and on-the-go snacks is steadily driving market expansion.
Types of Fast Food and Quick Service Restaurants:
The fast food and quick service restaurant (QSR) market comprises chain and independent establishments. These restaurants contribute to the global fast food market and cater to a broad spectrum of culinary preferences, featuring cuisines such as American, Chinese, Italian, Mexican, Japanese, Turkish, Lebanese, and more. The allure of these establishments is expected to witness a notable upswing, propelled by the inherent convenience they provide and a burgeoning societal inclination towards dining out.
Quick Service Restaurants (QSR):
At the core of the fast-food market, Quick Service Restaurants (QSRs) emerge as pivotal players, playing a crucial role in satisfying the demand for swift and efficient food options. Distinguished by their streamlined procedures and a deliberately limited menu repertoire, QSRs excel in delivering items with minimal preparation time. This characteristic efficiency aligns seamlessly with the contemporary preference for accessible and prompt dining experiences. Furthermore, QSRs often prioritize efficient delivery services, ensuring that their offerings reach consumers in a timely and convenient manner. This commitment to speed and convenience positions QSRs as integral components of the dynamic and evolving landscape of the fast-food industry.
Market Dynamics and Growth Factors:
Rising Disposable Income: The increasing disposable income of populations, such as the reported rise in the average disposable income in the US, contributes to the growth of the fast-food market.
Expanding Working Population: The expanding working populations in countries like the US, UK, India, and Germany drive the demand for quick and convenient food solutions. For instance, Germany's working population saw a 1.3% increase from the previous year, indicating a growing market.
India Quick Service Restaurant Market: A Closer Look
The India Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) market is poised for significant growth, with an estimated size of 23.16 billion USD in 2023, projected to reach 38.71 billion USD by 2029. This trajectory reflects a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.93% during the forecast period (2023-2029).
Market Dynamics:
The rise of platforms facilitating secure, hygienic, and customizable orders has been instrumental in the QSR market's expansion. The convenience of swift at-home deliveries has transformed items like burgers into satisfying, instant meals, resonating particularly well with the fast-paced lifestyle of smart-eating millennials. The high demand for chicken products, including wings, nuggets, meatballs, popcorn, and burgers, has significantly contributed to a notable 43.2% increase in the overall QSR segment's sales value from 2017 to 2022.
Culinary Trends:
In terms of cuisine types, pizza emerges as the fastest-growing segment, projected to achieve a CAGR of 11.21% by value during the forecast period. The surging number of pizza orders, reaching approximately 120 million in 2021, is a key driver of this growth. Dominated by major players such as Domino's and Pizza Hut, the market has witnessed a remarkable adoption of new technologies, like online food delivery within 30 minutes, and innovations such as the use of oven bags for efficient delivery.
Outlet Types:
Independent outlets are expected to experience the fastest-growing CAGR of 9.13% by value during the forecast period (2023-2029). These outlets, comprising around 90% of the total, are strategically located in markets and streets, ensuring easy consumer access. With product costs ranging from 30-40% lower than their chained counterparts, independent outlets attract consumer interest, resulting in a significant uptick in orders.
Market Trends:
Global Fast-Food Brands: International fast-food giants, including KFC, McDonald's, and Domino's, are gaining substantial traction in India. The increase in the number of QSR restaurants, reaching a growth of 51,761 from 2020 to 2021, is attributed to the expansion of global fast-food chains through both company-operated and franchised stores.
Meat-Based Cuisines Driving Growth: The quick-service segment is predominantly propelled by meat-based cuisines, followed by bakeries and burgers. The positive Year-on-Year growth rate of 8.41% from 2021 to 2022 in the number of QSR outlets correlates with the nation's increased meat consumption, rising from 6.15 kg per capita in 2019 to 6.82 kg in 2022.
Increasing Consumer Spending: With rising consumer spending on fast food, the average number of orders per outlet surged to 177 a day in 2022. Popular fast-food items contributing to this growth include chicken rolls, cheese balls, burgers, pizzas, French fries, desserts, pav bhaji, and peri-peri chicken wings.
Popularity among Young Consumers: The heightened popularity of QSRs is driven by the frequent consumption of fast food by the younger demographic. Renowned chains such as Haldiram's, Nirula's, and Pizza Hut are at the forefront of this trend, with an expected outlet growth of 0.29% during the forecast period.
The fast food and quick service restaurant market is poised for dynamic growth, fueled by urbanization, changing consumer preferences, and the adaptability of the industry to meet evolving needs. As the world emerges from the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic, the resilience and innovation within the fast food sector position it as a key player in the global food industry. The forecasted market growth presents promising opportunities for businesses to capitalize on the rising demand for convenient and diverse fast food options.